According to @charliebilello, 2026 YTD total returns show Small Caps IWM up 6.2 percent, S&P 500 Equal Weight RSP up 3.3 percent, and the S&P 500 SPY up 1.8 percent, indicating early leadership from smaller names and equal-weight versus cap-weight benchmarks, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 14, 2026. The source explicitly asks whether the average stock will finally outperform in 2026 after years of lagging large caps and the Mag 7, underscoring that traders are monitoring a potential breadth shift, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 14, 2026. Relative strength now favors IWM over SPY on a YTD basis, which is a key rotation indicator for equity long short and factor positioning models, source: Charlie Bilello on X, Jan 14, 2026. For crypto context, research has documented a higher correlation between Bitcoin and US equities since 2020, making equity breadth and leadership changes relevant inputs for crypto risk assessment, source: IMF Blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022.